4 reasons the AI bubble doesn’t look like the dotcom crash (yet)

22 Nov, 2025 | Australian Financial Review
4 reasons the AI bubble doesn’t look like the dotcom crash (yet)

We've been featured in a recent Australian Financial Review article examining whether the AI boom is a bubble or sustainable trend. The piece contrasts today's AI market with the 2000 dot com crash, highlighting four key differences: more modest stock gains, less extreme valuations, profitable tech companies, and AI's genuine transformative potential.

While the Magnificent Seven tech stocks have risen 275% in three years, they maintain strong fundamentals with $200 billion in cash reserves and $2.1 trillion in combined revenue. As a global equities fund with an AI-driven investing strategy, we're closely monitoring these developments.

Our co-manager Armina Rosenberg provided insight in the article, noting: "There's been all these fears around a bubble, but then when these guys have given out earnings, they're on track."

However, she identified potential warning signs, including increased debt financing that "can't be funded from cash flows alone" and expects more market volatility: "Anything that seems like a threat will have an impact, and then it will start to steadily rise again. There's going to be fits and starts."

The article concludes that locally, the ASX's limited tech exposure (just 2.8%) provides some insulation from potential corrections in global AI stocks. To read the article, click the link below.

© 2024 Minotaur Capital Management Pty Ltd (Minotaur). All rights reserved. See our Privacy Policy.

Minotaur Capital Management Pty Ltd (ABN 17 672 819 975) is a corporate authorised representative (CAR 1308265) of Minotaur Licensing Pty Ltd (ABN 86 674 743 198) (AFSL 557080). The Minotaur Global Opportunities Fund is issued by K2 Asset Management Ltd (ABN 95 085 445 094, AFSL 244393), a wholly owned subsidiary of K2 Asset Management Holdings Ltd (ABN 59 124 636 782).

The information in this website (the Information) has been prepared by Minotaur.

This information is for general information only and is not an offer for the purchase or sale of any financial product or services. The Information has been prepared for investors who qualify as wholesale clients under section 761G of the Corporations Act 2001 (Cth) (Corporations Act) or to any other person who is not required to be given a regulated disclosure document under the Corporations Act. The Information is not intended to provide you with financial or tax advice and does not take into account your objectives, financial situation or needs. Although we believe that the Information is correct, no warranty of accuracy, reliability or completeness is given, except for liability under statute which cannot be excluded. Please note that past performance may not be indicative of future performance and that no guarantee of performance, the return of capital or a particular rate of return is given Sandford Capital, Minotaur, K2 Asset Management or any other person. To the maximum extent possible, Sandford Capital, Minotaur, K2 Asset Management or any other person do not accept any liability for any statement in this Information.